|Predicting Maine vote results
||[Nov. 2nd, 2009|11:32 pm]
|||||A Dying Cub Fan's Last Request||]|
I'm thinking about the Maine vote. Unfortunately, I predict a narrow loss. A recent poll result was 46-48-6. We will lose, by an extremely narrow margin, something around 51% or 52%, less than Prop 8, but still not enough to cross the magic 50% threshhold.
As you remember, the final Prop 8 poll was 43-47-10. The poll numbers looked good but 100% (yes, one hundred percent) of the "undecided" voters were really Yes On 8 voters who were too polite to admit it. That gave a final vote result of 53-47, we lost. Unfortunately, it looks like Maine is shaping up for a similar result, most likely 52-48, going by that recent poll.
Or, perhaps I could be pleasantly surprised? A win would be something to be overjoyed about.
Being gay, and voting, is like being a Cubs fan. Year after year after year after year....